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DANMARKS STØRSTE INVESTORSITE MED DEBAT, CHAT OG NYHEDER

Sker dette i DK???


20420 CHjort 10/10 2009 10:12
Oversigt

Ja, dagligt! Hvis jeg en dag får tid, kan det da godt tænkes, at jeg vil udarbejde en lille video som viser det. Indtil da, må I nøjes med at læse om det. Nogle vil sikkert påstå at det ikke betyder en klap, men deres pengepung om det

Stock Traders Find Speed Pays, in Milliseconds
By CHARLES DUHIGG
Published: July 23, 2009

It is the hot new thing on Wall Street, a way for a handful of traders to master the stock market, peek at investors? orders and, critics say, even subtly manipulate share prices.

It is called high-frequency trading ? and it is suddenly one of the most talked-about and mysterious forces in the markets.

Powerful computers, some housed right next to the machines that drive marketplaces like the New York Stock Exchange, enable high-frequency traders to transmit millions of orders at lightning speed and, their detractors contend, reap billions at everyone else?s expense.

These systems are so fast they can outsmart or outrun other investors, humans and computers alike. And after growing in the shadows for years, they are generating lots of talk.

Nearly everyone on Wall Street is wondering how hedge funds and large banks like Goldman Sachs are making so much money so soon after the financial system nearly collapsed. High-frequency trading is one answer.

And when a former Goldman Sachs programmer was accused this month of stealing secret computer codes ? software that a federal prosecutor said could ?manipulate markets in unfair ways? ? it only added to the mystery. Goldman acknowledges that it profits from high-frequency trading, but disputes that it has an unfair advantage.

Yet high-frequency specialists clearly have an edge over typical traders, let alone ordinary investors. The Securities and Exchange Commission says it is examining certain aspects of the strategy.

?This is where all the money is getting made,? said William H. Donaldson, former chairman and chief executive of the New York Stock Exchange and today an adviser to a big hedge fund. ?If an individual investor doesn?t have the means to keep up, they?re at a huge disadvantage.?

For most of Wall Street?s history, stock trading was fairly straightforward: buyers and sellers gathered on exchange floors and dickered until they struck a deal. Then, in 1998, the Securities and Exchange Commission authorized electronic exchanges to compete with marketplaces like the New York Stock Exchange. The intent was to open markets to anyone with a desktop computer and a fresh idea.
But as new marketplaces have emerged, PCs have been unable to compete with Wall Street?s computers. Powerful algorithms ? ?algos,? in industry parlance ? execute millions of orders a second and scan dozens of public and private marketplaces simultaneously. They can spot trends before other investors can blink, changing orders and strategies within milliseconds.

High-frequency traders often confound other investors by issuing and then canceling orders almost simultaneously. Loopholes in market rules give high-speed investors an early glance at how others are trading. And their computers can essentially bully slower investors into giving up profits ? and then disappear before anyone even knows they were there.

High-frequency traders also benefit from competition among the various exchanges, which pay small fees that are often collected by the biggest and most active traders ? typically a quarter of a cent per share to whoever arrives first. Those small payments, spread over millions of shares, help high-speed investors profit simply by trading enormous numbers of shares, even if they buy or sell at a modest loss.

?It?s become a technological arms race, and what separates winners and losers is how fast they can move,? said Joseph M. Mecane of NYSE Euronext, which operates the New York Stock Exchange. ?Markets need liquidity, and high-frequency traders provide opportunities for other investors to buy and sell.?

The rise of high-frequency trading helps explain why activity on the nation?s stock exchanges has exploded. Average daily volume has soared by 164 percent since 2005, according to data from NYSE. Although precise figures are elusive, stock exchanges say that a handful of high-frequency traders now account for a more than half of all trades. To understand this high-speed world, consider what happened when slow-moving traders went up against high-frequency robots earlier this month, and ended up handing spoils to lightning-fast computers.

It was July 15, and Intel, the computer chip giant, had reporting robust earnings the night before. Some investors, smelling opportunity, set out to buy shares in the semiconductor company Broadcom. (Their activities were described by an investor at a major Wall Street firm who spoke on the condition of anonymity to protect his job.) The slower traders faced a quandary: If they sought to buy a large number of shares at once, they would tip their hand and risk driving up Broadcom?s price. So, as is often the case on Wall Street, they divided their orders into dozens of small batches, hoping to cover their tracks. One second after the market opened, shares of Broadcom started changing hands at $26.20.

The slower traders began issuing buy orders. But rather than being shown to all potential sellers at the same time, some of those orders were most likely routed to a collection of high-frequency traders for just 30 milliseconds ? 0.03 seconds ? in what are known as flash orders. While markets are supposed to ensure transparency by showing orders to everyone simultaneously, a loophole in regulations allows marketplaces like Nasdaq to show traders some orders ahead of everyone else in exchange for a fee.

In less than half a second, high-frequency traders gained a valuable insight: the hunger for Broadcom was growing. Their computers began buying up Broadcom shares and then reselling them to the slower investors at higher prices. The overall price of Broadcom began to rise.

Soon, thousands of orders began flooding the markets as high-frequency software went into high gear. Automatic programs began issuing and canceling tiny orders within milliseconds to determine how much the slower traders were willing to pay. The high-frequency computers quickly determined that some investors? upper limit was $26.40. The price shot to $26.39, and high-frequency programs began offering to sell hundreds of thousands of shares.

The result is that the slower-moving investors paid $1.4 million for about 56,000 shares, or $7,800 more than if they had been able to move as quickly as the high-frequency traders.

Multiply such trades across thousands of stocks a day, and the profits are substantial. High-frequency traders generated about $21 billion in profits last year, the Tabb Group, a research firm, estimates.

?You want to encourage innovation, and you want to reward companies that have invested in technology and ideas that make the markets more efficient,? said Andrew M. Brooks, head of United States equity trading at T. Rowe Price, a mutual fund and investment company that often competes with and uses high-frequency techniques. ?But we?re moving toward a two-tiered marketplace of the high-frequency arbitrage guys, and everyone else. People want to know they have a legitimate shot at getting a fair deal. Otherwise, the markets lose their integrity.?

Ofte sker dette ved at der både sælges og købes i samme aktie over dagen. En "blok" lægges ud på udbuds siden, stor nok til at de utålmodige springer ind foran hinanden for dog idetmindste, at have en chance for at få solgt. De underbyder nu hinanden, og køber samler så op, hvorefter "blokken" fjernes igen. Herefter foretages det samme, nu med omvendt fortegn. En stor købs ordre lægge ud, hvorefter andre købere nu begynder at overbyde hinanden. Og hvem er det så, der nu ligger på den anden side og sælger????
Tja, gæt engang....



10/10 2009 12:14 CHjort 720423






10/10 2009 13:52 renek 320429



Hej CH. Det er absolut en interessant artikel du ligger ud og det bliver ikke mindre interessant af at du følger op med et konkret eksempel således at det hele ikke blot forbliver anekdoter og henvisninger. Hvis jeg kunne give flere point ville jeg gøre det.




10/10 2009 12:54 Gobe 420424



Ja, det gør og det har jeg sagt længe !

Noget forbandet svineri.

Men det er sikkert svært for investorer at opdage/fatte, hvis de kun har få handler.

Øv-pilen, - du har fået, - tror jeg godt, jeg ved hvor kommer fra ! (SUK)



10/10 2009 13:02 CHjort 020425



Åhhh... Du mener Professor T



10/10 2009 13:19 Gobe 320426



Nemlig, - og du har også fået en øv-pil i DK.

Flot, energisk og stædigt arbejde du hat lavet, - for at afdække og forklare verden om det plat og svindel småinvestorer bliver udsat for.

Du burde faktisk sende dine observationer til både KF og Finanstilsynet,
om ikke andet for at få en reaktion.

God week-end



10/10 2009 13:22 tumult 120427



Du får pil ned fra mig, ikke fordi det ikke er udmærket det du skriver, og også fin vidio, men fordi der ikke er sammenhæng mellem den engelsk sprogede tekst og det du konkluderer.
Iøvrigt har jeg givet dig pil op i går aftes for din Genmab vidio.




10/10 2009 13:34 Gobe 120428



Tak for din ærlighed. Har hermed fået muligheden for bager for smed.



11/10 2009 00:40 turin 120443



Hvis jeg er professor T påtager jeg mig gerne hvervet.

Til de 27 der har givet indlægget pil op vil jeg gerne spørge om i overhovedet har læst CHARLES DUHIGG's indlæg som CHjort refererer? Kan i så ikke lige kort forklare mig sammenhængen mellem den og CHjorts afsluttende kommentar der handler om at samme mægler optræder som både køber og sælger i løbet af en børsdag. CHARLES DUHIGG's artikel handler om flash-trading, der betyder at en mægler får en fordel ved at få børskurser et splitsekund før os andre. De to ting har intet med hinanden at gøre.

CHjort må naturligvis også gerne byde ind her og forklare koblingen mellem mægleres dobbeltrolle og flash-trade.


- turin



11/10 2009 03:04 loevquist 120445



De to er "highly interconnected" af mangel på bedre ord, og jeg mener faktisk også Hjort forklarer, hvordan det foregår i videoen. Forresten, turin, så ville det være cool, hvis du gav et svar på mit spørgsmål til dig i tråden Færdiggjort Elliott Wave pattern.



11/10 2009 12:21 Solsen 220451



Tak for din indsats Hjort

Vi skal bare være ekstra vågne som små fisk i dette ocean.

Specielt i små aktier - Topo o.lign. skal man være forberedt på alt fra op- til nedture uden nogen årsag.

I min foretrukne aktie "Genmab" sker der også små sjove ting.

I stedet for at blive rasende over det skal man blot følge de professionelle manipulatorer.



11/10 2009 12:52 tumult 020454



Nemlig, hvis man indtil nu har troet at det antal der der vises i 5 lag virkelig var til salg/køb, har man godt nok været naiv.

Som lille investor kan man faktisk også have fordel af de "stores" manipulation,- vi kan f.eks sælge og købe uden at påvirke kursen.
De stores manipulation er ofte nem at gennemskue hvis man har realtid i 5 lag, og sammenholder den med mæglerstatistikken.
Mæglerstatistikken bruger jeg ofte til at lave et skøn på hvor mange aktier en bestemt mægler skal have solgt/købt over hele dagen.

Jeg håber aldrig at flash-trading bliver indført i danmark, for det vil formentlig betyde at mæglerne kan nå at fjerne deres ordre i det øjeblik der er nogen der reelt vil købe/sælge.
Som det er i øjeblikket, er der jo faktisk en risiko ved at lægge en "falsk" ordre ud.



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